Top Expert Picks for Super Bowl Prop Bets on Both Offense and Defense
Super Bowl LX is set to feature the Seattle Seahawks and the New England Patriots. Both teams bring distinct strategies and strengths to the field, creating an intriguing environment for prop betting on various offensive and defensive performance metrics.
Understanding the Seahawks’ Offense
The Seahawks favor a run-first strategy. They ranked high in called run rate, showing a 4.9% increase over expectation, positioning them as the ninth-most run-centric team in the league. Their unique alignment includes heavy under-center formations, second only to the Los Angeles Rams.
Seattle excels in utilizing diverse personnel groupings. They rarely use 11 personnel, opting instead for heavier sets that enhance their play-action and rollout capabilities. Quarterback Sam Darnold’s use of designed rollouts has been effective, with a success rate of 58.5% and averaging 11.1 yards per attempt.
Key Prop Bets for Seahawks’ Offense
- Sam Darnold OVER 6.5 rushing yards (-106): Darnold has increased his rushing attempts significantly in recent games.
- George Holani OVER 11.5 receiving yards (-107): Holani has developed as a reliable target on third downs.
- AJ Barner to score a TD (+255): Barner has proven effective in short-yardage situations.
Analyzing the Patriots’ Offense
The Patriots are built for a pass-heavy attack. They ranked second in pass rate over expectation, allowing quarterback Drake Maye to spread the field with effective passing. Their formations create favorable conditions for a range of receivers, with nine players reaching at least 200 receiving yards this season.
New England’s success in the passing game hinges on their ability to maintain spacing and keep defenses guessing. Their infrequent use of motion pre-snap offers predictability, but their dynamic receiving corps remains a significant threat.
Key Prop Bets for Patriots’ Offense
- Drake Maye 20+ completions (-106): Expect increased checkdown passes from Maye in response to the Seahawks’ defense.
- Hunter Henry UNDER 39.5 receiving yards (-110): This matchup isn’t favorable for Henry against the Seahawks’ coverage strategy.
- TreVeyon Henderson OVER 24.5 rushing + receiving yards (-113): Henderson may see more involvement as his role expands.
Defensive Insights for Super Bowl LX
On the defensive side, the Seahawks have showcased the ability to limit opposing offenses effectively. They force teams into shallow passing strategies, allowing only 5.1 air yards per attempt, establishing themselves as formidable opponents in the playoffs.
The Patriots’ defense excelled at disrupting drives, but they have struggled against the run. This could influence the game’s dynamics, particularly as Seattle aims to control possession through their running game.
Defensive Prop Bets to Consider
- Elijah Ponder OVER 0.25 sacks (+483): Ponder’s increased playing time could lead to favorable opportunities.
- Coby Bryant to record 1+ interception (+950): A long shot that reflects Seattle’s expected pass-heavy game script by New England.
- Devon Witherspoon UNDER 6.5 tackles + assists (-137): A high total for a cornerback, suggesting value in the under.
As both teams prepare for Super Bowl LX, the combination of strategic offensive alignments and defensive tactics presents numerous betting opportunities. Analysts like Ben Solak and Seth Walder emphasize understanding these dynamics to maximize potential returns on prop bets.
