Accurate Winter Storm Forecast: Timing for Rain and Snow Unveiled

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Accurate Winter Storm Forecast: Timing for Rain and Snow Unveiled

Arizona is bracing for a winter storm that is set to impact daily activities across the state. With rain and snow expected, Saturday has been declared an ABC15 Weather Action Day. Residents should prepare for potential disruptions.

Winter Storm Forecast Details

A cold front is moving through Arizona, bringing significant weather changes. The Phoenix metro area is projected to receive between one-tenth to one-quarter of an inch of rain, with thunderstorms and possible hail occurring.

Timing of Rain and Snow

The best chances for rain will begin after lunch on Saturday and are expected to last until 8 to 9 PM. The highest precipitation levels will be in the Foothills, which is located north and east of the Valley.

  • Rain-snow mix expected in Flagstaff by afternoon
  • Heavy snowfall likely in the evening

Snow Accumulation and Travel Hazards

In the high country, snow levels are initially at around 7,000 feet but will drop to approximately 5,000 feet by early evening. Hazardous travel conditions are anticipated, particularly along the Mogollon Rim and in the White Mountains.

  • Winter Weather Advisories in effect for eastern and southeastern Arizona
  • 3 to 12 inches of snow possible above 6,500 feet
  • Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau expecting 2 to 6 inches of snow

Winds and Temperature Changes

Wind gusts may reach up to 25 mph in the Valley and around 30 mph in the mountainous regions. This cold front will lower temperatures to typical seasonal levels, with highs reaching the mid to upper 60s this weekend.

Rainfall Statistics

Current rainfall statistics show that Sky Harbor has recorded 0.18 inches of precipitation, falling short of the average by 0.49 inches. Over the past years, there has been a noticeable decline in average rainfall.

Category 1981-2010 Average 1991-2020 Average
Average Monsoon Rainfall 2.71 inches 2.43 inches
Average Yearly Rainfall 8.03 inches 7.22 inches

Stay informed and adjust your weekend plans accordingly as Arizona faces this winter storm. More updates and rainfall reports can be accessed through Filmogaz.com.