Poll: Democrats vs. Trump’s GOP – Who Leads for 2026 Midterms?

As the 2026 midterm elections approach, political dynamics in the United States are shifting. A recent CNN poll reveals crucial insights regarding the motivations of voters and attitudes towards party leadership.

Voter Motivation and Party Support

The survey, conducted by SSRS, showed that 80% of Democrats feel highly motivated to vote, in contrast to 74% of Republicans. This eagerness among Democrats could play a significant role in the upcoming elections.

Overall motivation among all voters stands at 71%. When voters were asked which party they would support if elections were held today, Democrats held a 5-point lead over Republicans. This advantage swells to 16 points among those voters who are extremely motivated.

Approval Ratings for Party Leadership

Despite their lead on the generic ballot, Democratic congressional leaders are facing challenges. The poll indicates that only 28% of voters approve of the Democratic leadership in Congress, while 35% approve of their Republican counterparts.

• 75% of Republicans approve of their party’s leadership.
• Only 48% of Democrats express approval for their own leaders.
• Independents show dissatisfaction, with 75% disapproving of both parties.

Public Perception of Party Outcomes

Perceptions of what a Democratic Congress might mean for the country are mixed. The poll found:

• 39% believe the country would be “better off” with Democrats in charge.
• 37% think it would be “worse off.”
• 24% predict no change in the country’s condition.

Trump’s Influence on the GOP

Donald Trump’s impact on the Republican Party is another area of concern. Half of all voters believe he has negatively influenced the party, while 32% see his influence as positive. Only 18% think he has made minimal differences.

Among Republicans, perceptions are notably different. Approximately 67% consider Trump’s effect to be beneficial, with only 15% viewing it negatively.

Poll Details

This comprehensive poll surveyed 1,209 adults from January 9-12, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points. As the elections draw nearer, the political landscape will undoubtedly continue to evolve, requiring vigilance from both parties.