Nuggets Vs Warriors — nuggets vs warriors Prediction, Picks & Odds
The Denver Nuggets travel to the Bay to meet the Golden State Warriors for the third time this season in a Western Conference showdown set for Sunday, February 22. In this nuggets vs warriors preview, Hanshew's prediction is simple: "Jokic drops dimes, " and the best bet offered is Nikola Jokic Over 9. 5 assists (-135).
Nuggets Vs Warriors Best Bet
The headline wager for the matchup is Nikola Jokic Over 9. 5 assists (-135). Jokic has had clear success as a facilitator in San Francisco, and the projection expects him to reach double-digit assists. Across his last five games at Golden State, Jokic averaged 11 assists and finished with 10 or more four times. With 10. 5 helpers per game, he leads the NBA in assists this season.
Why Jokic Could Assist More
Jokic has dished 10+ dimes in 26 of 41 games overall and has averaged 9. 9 assists on the road. Jamal Murray is banged up, which could mean additional playmaking responsibilities for the Joker, increasing the chance Jokic clears the 9. 5 line. The prediction emphasizes Jokic’s generosity to teammates in San Francisco and expects him to rack up double-digit assists in this matchup.
Team and Betting Trends
The Denver Nuggets sport the second-best ATS record on the road this season at 20-1, and the Nuggets are 12-9 ATS as the road favorite. The Golden State Warriors are 14-15 ATS at home, and the Dubs have covered in just one of five games as the home dog. Denver has hit the Over in eight of its last 10 games, while Golden State has hit the Over in three straight.
Porzingis, Murray and Minutes
Kristaps Porzingis finished with 12 points across 17 minutes in his Warriors debut and is expected to see his minutes tick up on Sunday. The context notes he can get one more bucket and clear his scoring line, especially in a high-scoring matchup with the Nuggets. Jamal Murray’s injury status is listed as banged up, a detail that could shift playmaking duties toward Jokic.
Scoring Records and Match Context
The Nuggets’ offense is described as the highest-scoring in the Association, and the team set a franchise record for points on the road with 157 in Friday’s win over the Portland Trail Blazers. The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9. 20 Units / 39% ROI). The piece presents these figures as part of the betting case for a high-scoring contest.
Hanshew frames these observations as his best free NBA picks for the Western Conference showdown. The preview includes the clear prediction that Jokic will serve as a primary facilitator in San Francisco and highlights statistical support for choosing the Nikola Jokic Over 9. 5 assists (-135).
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Zak Hanshew has been covering fantasy sports and sports betting since 2018. In his spare time, he can be found spending time with his wife and four kids, playing his guitar, watching Simpsons re-runs, or getting some shots up on the court.
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Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Warriors.
Closing: The preview sets Nikola Jokic Over 9. 5 assists (-135) as the standout pick for the Nuggets visiting the Warriors on Sunday, February 22, citing Jokic’s Bay-area assist history, Denver’s road form, Golden State’s home totals, and roster-minute implications from Jamal Murray’s condition and Kristaps Porzingis’ debut.
