Top AFC Divisional Round Predictions and Picks: Bills vs. Broncos
The AFC Divisional Round matchup features an intriguing contest between the Buffalo Bills and the Denver Broncos. Taking place at Mile High Stadium, this game is set for Saturday, January 17, 2026, with a kickoff at 4:30 p.m. ET.
AFC Divisional Round Predictions and Picks: Bills vs. Broncos
Game Overview
Both teams enter this game with unique challenges. The Bills are contending with injuries, particularly in their wide receiver corps. Meanwhile, the Broncos have struggled offensively since the injury of running back J.K. Dobbins.
Key Predictions
- Best Bet: Under 46.5 points (-118)
- Score Prediction: Bills 23, Broncos 21
- Spread Prediction: Bills +1.5 (-115)
Team Analysis
Buffalo’s defense has been impressive, limiting opponents to just 159.6 passing yards per game. This will be a tough challenge for Denver quarterback Bo Nix, as Buffalo excels in pass defense.
Conversely, Denver’s offense is ranked poorly in rush efficiency since losing Dobbins, which hampers their ability to exploit Buffalo’s weakest area—run defense. Running back R.J. Harvey is averaging only 3.4 yards per carry.
Josh Allen’s Impact
Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen is the focal point of their offense. He has accumulated 41 rushing touchdowns in recent seasons and demonstrated his capability to perform under pressure. In the Wild Card Round, he threw for 273 yards and rushed for two touchdowns.
Same-Game Parlay Options
Consider placing a same-game parlay that includes:
- Bills moneyline
- Josh Allen over 208.5 passing yards
- Josh Allen anytime touchdown
- Dawson Knox over 21.5 receiving yards
Dawson Knox has become a reliable target, particularly with Dalton Kincaid’s current injury, potentially increasing Knox’s opportunities.
Current Betting Odds
| Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Spread | Bills +1.5 (-115) | Broncos -1.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | Bills -102 | Broncos -116 |
| Over/Under | Over 46.5 (-105) | Under 46.5 (-115) |
Conclusion
Despite facing a quality defense and playing away, the Bills have proven experience. With Josh Allen at the helm, their chances of emerging victorious increase. The predicted low-scoring affair favors the under and highlights the strength of both defensive units.
