NCAAM Prediction: New Mexico State vs. Missouri State, Pick for Thursday 1/22/26
In an exciting college basketball matchup, the New Mexico State Aggies are set to face the Missouri State Bears on Thursday, January 22, 2026. This game is crucial for both teams, as they vie for better positioning in the competitive Conference USA standings.
NCAAM Prediction: New Mexico State vs. Missouri State
The Aggies enter the game with a record of 10 wins and 7 losses, including 3 wins and 4 losses in conference play. At home in Las Cruces, they have been particularly strong, boasting a 7-1 record. On the other hand, the Bears sit at 10 wins and 8 losses overall, with a 4-3 conference record. Their away performance has been concerning, as evidenced by a 1-6 road record.
Key Team Statistics
- New Mexico State Aggies:
- Overall Record: 10-7
- Conference Record: 3-4
- Home Record: 7-1
- Opponent Field Goal Percentage: 39.6%
- Defensive Effective Field Goal Rate: 46.0%
- Opponent Offensive Rebound Rate: 28.3%
- Missouri State Bears:
- Overall Record: 10-8
- Conference Record: 4-3
- Away Record: 1-6
- Offensive Effective Field Goal Rate: 51.2%
- Three-Point Shooting Percentage: 31.2%
- Free Throw Conversion Rate: 66.1%
Recent Form and Player Performances
The recent performances of both teams add another layer of intrigue to this matchup. New Mexico State is coming off a dominant 97-68 victory against Delaware. Prior to that, they narrowly lost to Liberty. Conversely, Missouri State has struggled, losing three out of their last four games, including a heartbreaking two-overtime defeat against Middle Tennessee.
Individual player performances are also vital to watch. Keith Palek III from New Mexico State is currently third in Conference USA scoring, averaging 18.0 points per game. Missouri State’s Michael Osei-Bonsu is a key player, leading the league in field goal percentage at 59.4%.
Betting Insights and Predictions
In terms of betting, a clear narrative emerges: New Mexico State has a real home advantage and a stronger defensive game. Missouri State, while adept at drawing fouls, converts free throws at a lower efficiency. Given their poor road performance, it appears challenging for Missouri State to upset the Aggies.
The prediction suggests that New Mexico State will cover a spread of -6.5. Expect a final score around 75-67, indicating a strong performance backed by home-court advantage and solid defensive strategies.
For those looking to place bets, the recommended wager is New Mexico State -6.5 at -110 odds. Follow Filmogaz.com for further predictions and analysis throughout the season.
